Guy Den Ouden vs Mathys Erhard Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When considering second serve performance in the last six months, Erhard slightly edges Ouden with a win rate of 43.36% compared to Ouden's 42.99%. Will this minor difference tilt the match's outcome?
• Looking at return game statistics, Erhard has won 48.53% of their opponent's second serve points recently, while Ouden has managed 46.68%. Also, Erhard outperforms in first serve returns with 29.93% compared to Ouden's 29.64%.
• When under pressure, Erhard has a break point save rate of 54.83%, which is superior to Ouden's 48.17%, potentially providing an advantage in crucial moments.
• In overall performance from the last year, both players have nearly identical match win percentages, with Erhard at 67.11% and Ouden at 67.12%. Does this imply a highly competitive match?
• Both players excel on clay, although Ouden boasts a slightly better career win percentage on this surface at 70% compared to Erhard's 65%.
• Consider the level of competition: Erhard often competes in Futures/ITF $10K events with an 82.93% success rate, whereas Ouden plays mostly in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, winning 66.67% of those matches.
• Regarding opponent quality, Ouden has faced slightly higher-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 339.26, versus Erhard's 350.41. Will this experience play a role?
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Erhard has the slight edge, having won 48% of such sets in the past year compared to Ouden's 47%.
• Recent form in break point conversion shows Ouden slightly ahead, converting 41.26% of opportunities while Erhard converts 37.7%.

Editorial Prediction (July 16, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Erhard and Ouden presents a tightly contested scenario. Both players exhibit strengths and vulnerabilities that are worth noting. Erhard shows a slight advantage in second serve success and return games, which often correlates with match prediction accuracy.

Ouden, on the other hand, has performed against slightly stronger opponents and has a marginally better record on clay, their preferred surface. Moreover, Ouden exhibits superior breakpoint conversion rates, a critical factor in tight matches.

While Erhard's ability to save break points should not be underestimated, the balance between these statistics suggests a closely fought encounter. Despite Erhard's edge in some areas, Ouden's overall adaptability and recent performance metrics suggest they are slightly more likely to emerge victorious in this match.